LTV Calculator: Customer Lifetime Value
Estimate customer lifetime value (LTV) from ARPU, margin and retention, plus the LTV:CAC ratio.
Customer Lifetime Value (LTV) estimates the gross profit a typical customer generates over their relationship with you. It is the anchor for acquisition targets: you can only afford CAC that leaves room under LTV.
How LTV is calculated
There are several models. A simple subscription version is:
LTV = ARPU × Gross Margin × Average Lifespan (periods)
Worked example: ARPU $50/month, margin 70%, average lifespan 24 months.
LTV = 50 × 0.70 × 24 = $840
Your average customer’s lifetime gross profit is $840. If your average CAC is $280, your LTV:CAC is 3.0×.
What to do with the result
- Target an LTV:CAC ≥ 3× for paid channels once you include overhead and payback time.
- Use LTV to set ROAS and CPC guardrails: higher LTV supports higher CAC.
- Improve LTV by raising retention, cross-sell and margin before you scale spend.
- See all free calculators on the Tools index.
- Related reads: ROAS Calculator, CTR Calculator, CPM Calculator.
Common mistakes and when not to trust LTV
- Revenue, not profit: Using revenue instead of gross margin overstates LTV and pushes CAC too high.
- Blended ARPU: Mixing free trials, heavy discounters and enterprise plans hides cohort differences.
- Assuming infinite life: Using 1/churn with noisy data can explode LTV; cap lifespan sensibly.
- Too little history: If you only have a few months of data, treat LTV as a forecast with wide error bars.
- Ignoring returns and cancellations: Especially in ecommerce and subscriptions, net down first.
Second example (churn sensitivity): With ARPU $50 and margin 70%: monthly churn 10% → expected lifespan ≈ 10 months, LTV ≈ $350. If churn improves to 5%, lifespan ≈ 20 months, LTV ≈ $700. Small churn changes double LTV — don’t lock CAC decisions on a single estimate.
Run your own numbers
Use the free Customer Lifetime Value (LTV) calculator to model subscription or repeat-purchase scenarios and see the LTV:CAC ratio.
Free calculators: ROAS calculator · LTV calculator · CPM calculator · CTR calculator · CPC calculator
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